TechF*cked

Pardon my bluntness, but the real reason that Second Life will fail (I use the term loosely and should probably replace it with ‘will not be a tremendous success’) is really quite simple; real vagina is better than cyber vagina. Sure, there is a niche of introverted hermits sitting inside their homes attempting to make connections with other similar people, but this is hardly enough of a demographic to establish the numbers huge corporations are looking for to expand their businesses.

I made this prediction the very first time I learned of SecondLife a little over one year ago (but unfortunately had not started this blog yet). And unpromising numbers have recently come out for SecondLife. The LA Times reported that the maximum number of users on SecondLife at any given time is 40,000. The most popular corporate destinations on SecondLife peak at 10,000 visitors per week. With the cost of owning and maintaining real estate of SecondLife, what this boils down to is that essentially SecondLife is not economically efficient whatsoever.

SecondLife will not be a failure. However, don’t expect it to be the economic powerhouse experts once believed it would be. It’s just too weird for mainstream success.